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It wasn’t inevitable. No oil embargo, no war. Without it Japan likely would’ve remained laser-focused on the guagmire in China, maybe attack the Soviets if the opportunity arises but it’s a stretch.⏱ 1w↩ 1
Japan still would have invaded Southeast Asia. The IJN was arguing for a strike south strategy well before the embargo and the war in China had long since stagnated prior to the embargo as well, giving more weight to their strategy with them having gained more influence. Japan invading Southeast Asia means war with the Allies.⏱ 1w↩