{"contentHash":"a8a191c111b405eb0b593755ae06369d757bd5ed62da3b5c71bf441fc4f8d198","protocol":"bitcoin","authorPubkey":"2e7fb1d824d49b02f393839f284389c6bb49e681008aa7977ffbf4adac7ed882","text":"The results will probably be more extreme in 2028. By then AI should be the number one issue. Take a guess which position the average voter will find more compelling. \"We need to tax frontier labs for automating your job\" or \"we need to build more datacenters and self replicating factories to beat China\". This is conditional on Eliezer being wrong about fast takeoff. I think we will survive till the election but I am potentially just 1 trend altering breakthrough away from being wrong. Humans failed to discover one (we still use gradient descent on transformers with crude RL), but maybe AIs can. They will cover orders of magnitude more search space.","topicHash":"913c62c2ee31793c7e8517600dbc8f0c337afae133700a128a7d8ffb8a21c93e","topicName":"technology","parentHash":"010a70321969dfbd0ddc4ba3307bf0633a43be3d82593071c203826c7672e06f","costSunk":"0","biasSupport":0,"biasOppose":0,"biasVouch":0,"biasNull":0,"blockHeight":null,"confirmations":0,"timestamp":"2026-11-04T16:05:24.169Z","tripFp":"a5bd4e0b2b5d","viewCount":0,"powDifficulty":0,"relation":0,"ephemeral":true,"nonce":"7737de04e570aea1","sig":"ba5fac051f8e7afcd61a77b336fe199f02d581dfe50da199ae77bad35ece097e931c9944ced9aaf8cd201ec10164065dc64b21cca9ca5961b11714af5b579f78","ephStamp":{"blockHashHex":"00000000000000000000f7813784860e3eb0202a11238f2848130e94889d94d6","nonceHex":"e7fc000000000000"},"replyCount":0,"chainReplyCount":0,"vaporReplyCount":0,"clusterSize":1,"receiptHeight":974543,"expiryHeight":975623,"authorMarks":{"since":"2026-11-04T14:04:43.214Z","via":"sight","inscribed":0,"likes":0,"biases":0},"lang":"en","servedBy":{"host":"6af58b1822e0cabfe57d76540f745d059b438f489a796ec6a705c6540233845e","t":"2026-11-08T19:51:08.989Z","sig":"2a36e600778322854f03e17105d6baa95943ba7ec0604c58425e64267aed398042249a64f871842a67d87446de1888c7f0180cb74103006d5dc7ce863f3f4a9f","h":"00000000000000000001e22bd31fbac6b11e9cb6f5b0df8bb85edfbe01a241f1"}}